Lotto Predictions - Saturday 11 September 2021

[Frank]

(09-19-2021 06:09 AM)LottoUK Wrote:  You know you could write to me with your numbers to check ?
Or You don't play , just want to prove me wrong ?

On your thread for 21st August predictions I said this:-

(08-25-2021 10:40 PM)Frank Wrote:  Yes I am checking your predictions and also checking equal numbers of 'random' predictions as a control. If you are a good analyst you will know that you need to make these comparisons for an extended period of many draws at least 40 to begin to reach a conclusion.

What I am also aware of and I expect you to be too are the theoretical odds of your lists failing to match with the draw you predict.
With pick 3 odds of 1626 to 1 against each triple you post, even when you post 200 'bad' triples the odds are still 8 to 1 against one of them matching with the draw. They are very much in your favour even if you posted random numbers, making your list look good.

Same for the pairs at odds of 115 to 1 for a single pair to match with the draw. When you post 10 its still 11 to 1 against any of your pairs being in the draw, again in your favour. These factors need to be borne in mind when asessing how useful your system is.

As an experienced lottery analyst of 27 years experience I certainly don’t need you to “check my numbers” . I need to check that the numbers you post do what you say they do, and that a set of numbers I create in the same quantity as yours, can match your success rate. You seem to be treating your bad triples as though it’s something you’ve invented. I have to tell you that we were discussing bad triples 25 years ago in Anselms Lotteryfun forum. This is nothing special, anybody can do a list of bad triples and pairs with confidence that none of them will appear in the next draw. It’s all down to statistics and odds, it’s not rocket science. So keep posting them, and I’ll keep checking them.

By the way one of your bad pairs was drawn- 27,34 last Wednesday, but you failed to acknowlege that on your Twitter feed. I feel it is important that you don’t mislead your followers, and make them think you are doing something that nobody else can do, because all experienced lottophiles can do it!
Keep posting them, it’s fun to check them.